AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 11-3012.00
Will AI replace Administrative Services Managers?
Administrative Services Managers: AI can already handle 10 of 18 tasks; the work mostly needs a frontier-tier model.
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Every task, scored
The 18 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for Administrative Services Managers, from most to least exposed. 10 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.
| Task | AI exposure | Evidence | Model tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hire and terminate clerical and administrative personnel. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Set goals and deadlines for the department. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Acquire, distribute and store supplies. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Communicate with and provide guidance for external vendors and service providers to ensure the organization, department, or work unit's business needs are met. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Establish work procedures or schedules to organize the daily work of administrative staff. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Represent work unit at meetings or conferences and serve as liaison for requests or complaints. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Analyze internal processes and recommend and implement procedural or policy changes to improve operations, such as supply changes or the disposal of records. | Observed | Standard | |
| Manage paper or electronic filing systems by recording information, updating paperwork, or maintaining documents, such as attendance records or correspondence. | Observed | Frontier | |
| Read through contracts, regulations, and procedural guidelines to ensure comprehension and compliance. | Observed | Efficient | |
| Prepare and review operational reports and schedules to ensure accuracy and efficiency. | Observed | Standard | |
| Plan, administer, and control budgets for contracts, equipment, and supplies. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Direct or coordinate the supportive services department of a business, agency, or organization. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Develop operational standards and procedures for the work unit or department. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Learn to operate new office technologies as they are developed and implemented. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Meet with other departmental leaders to establish organizational goals, strategic plans, and objectives, as well as make decisions about personnel, resources, and space or equipment needs. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Conduct classes to teach procedures to staff. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Supervise administrative staff and provide training and orientation to new staff. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Oversee payroll functions, such as maintaining timekeeping information and processing and submitting payroll. | Estimated | Standard |
Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 4 of 18 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 14 of 18. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.
The model tier this role needs
A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 100% of the work is something AI can address at some tier.
Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.
Wages, employment and outlook
- US employment
- 263,960
- Median annual wage
- $114,130
- Middle half of earners
- $86,460 to $157,420
- Projected change, 2024 to 2034
- +4.6%
Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034.
Adjacent roles
The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.
- Medical and Health Services Managers 71% skill overlap, about 10 months to move Exposure56
- First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers 69% skill overlap, about 11 months to move Exposure49
- Social and Community Service Managers 67% skill overlap, about 12 months to move Exposure41
- General and Operations Managers 64% skill overlap, about 13 months to move Exposure54
- Human Resources Managers 64% skill overlap, about 13 months to move Exposure43
Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.
Questions about Administrative Services Managers and AI
Will AI replace Administrative Services Managers?
AI already handles 10 of the 18 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 65 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by +4.6% from 2024 to 2034.
What is the AI exposure of Administrative Services Managers?
65 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 4 of the 18 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 14 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.
Which Administrative Services Managers tasks can AI already do?
The tasks with the highest exposure are: Hire and terminate clerical and administrative personnel; Set goals and deadlines for the department; Acquire, distribute and store supplies. They are three of the 10 tasks that reach 60 or more.
What AI model tier does this role need?
A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.
How many people work as Administrative Services Managers, and what do they earn?
263,960 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $114,130 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of +4.6% from 2024 to 2034.
How to cite
Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.
JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: Administrative Services Managers. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/administrative-services-managers
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