AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 11-3121.00

Will AI replace Human Resources Managers?

Human Resources Managers: AI can already handle 6 of 26 tasks; the work mostly needs a frontier-tier model.

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Every task, scored

The 26 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for Human Resources Managers, from most to least exposed. 6 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.

Task AI exposure Evidence Model tier Importance
Maintain records and compile statistical reports concerning personnel-related data such as hires, transfers, performance appraisals, and absenteeism rates. 80 Estimated Efficient 3.8
Serve as a link between management and employees by handling questions, interpreting and administering contracts and helping resolve work-related problems. 65 Estimated Standard 4.7
Negotiate bargaining agreements and help interpret labor contracts. 65 Estimated Frontier 4.3
Study legislation, arbitration decisions, and collective bargaining contracts to assess industry trends. 65 Estimated Standard 3.4
Develop, administer, and evaluate applicant tests. 65 Estimated Frontier 2.8
Analyze statistical data and reports to identify and determine causes of personnel problems and develop recommendations for improvement of organization's personnel policies and practices. 60 Estimated Standard 4.0
Plan, direct, supervise, and coordinate work activities of subordinates and staff relating to employment, compensation, labor relations, and employee relations. 50 Estimated Frontier 4.5
Plan and conduct new employee orientation to foster positive attitude toward organizational objectives. 50 Estimated Standard 4.1
Plan, organize, direct, control, or coordinate the personnel, training, or labor relations activities of an organization. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.6
Analyze training needs to design employee development, language training, and health and safety programs. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.6
Develop or administer special projects in areas such as pay equity, savings bond programs, day care, and employee awards. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.2
Advise managers on organizational policy matters, such as equal employment opportunity and sexual harassment, and recommend needed changes. 40 Observed Standard 4.3
Provide terminated employees with outplacement or relocation assistance. 40 Observed Standard 2.2
Perform difficult staffing duties, including dealing with understaffing, refereeing disputes, firing employees, and administering disciplinary procedures. 30 Estimated Standard 4.5
Represent organization at personnel-related hearings and investigations. 30 Estimated Efficient 4.4
Identify staff vacancies and recruit, interview, and select applicants. 30 Estimated Efficient 4.0
Analyze and modify compensation and benefits policies to establish competitive programs and ensure compliance with legal requirements. 30 Estimated Efficient 4.0
Investigate and report on industrial accidents for insurance carriers. 30 Estimated Efficient 4.0
Administer compensation, benefits, and performance management systems, and safety and recreation programs. 30 Estimated Standard 3.9
Prepare and follow budgets for personnel operations. 30 Estimated Standard 3.9
Provide current and prospective employees with information about policies, job duties, working conditions, wages, opportunities for promotion, and employee benefits. 30 Estimated Efficient 3.7
Conduct exit interviews to identify reasons for employee termination. 30 Estimated Efficient 3.6
Oversee the evaluation, classification, and rating of occupations and job positions. 30 Estimated Standard 3.6
Allocate human resources, ensuring appropriate matches between personnel. 30 Estimated Standard 3.5
Prepare personnel forecast to project employment needs. 30 Estimated Standard 3.5
Contract with vendors to provide employee services, such as food service, transportation, or relocation service. 30 Estimated Standard 2.4

Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 2 of 26 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 24 of 26. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.

The model tier this role needs

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 100% of the work is something AI can address at some tier.

Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.

Wages, employment and outlook

US employment
220,660
Median annual wage
$149,280
Middle half of earners
$111,110 to $199,290
Projected change, 2024 to 2034
+5.0%

Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034.

Adjacent roles

The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.

Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.

Questions about Human Resources Managers and AI

Will AI replace Human Resources Managers?

AI already handles 6 of the 26 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 43 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by +5.0% from 2024 to 2034.

What is the AI exposure of Human Resources Managers?

43 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 2 of the 26 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 24 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.

Which Human Resources Managers tasks can AI already do?

The tasks with the highest exposure are: Maintain records and compile statistical reports concerning personnel-related data such as hires, transfers, performance appraisals, and absenteeism rates; Serve as a link between management and employees by handling questions, interpreting and administering contracts and helping resolve work-related problems; Negotiate bargaining agreements and help interpret labor contracts. They are three of the 6 tasks that reach 60 or more.

What AI model tier does this role need?

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.

How many people work as Human Resources Managers, and what do they earn?

220,660 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $149,280 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of +5.0% from 2024 to 2034.

How to cite

Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.

JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: Human Resources Managers. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/human-resources-managers

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