AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 11-3131.00
Will AI replace Training and Development Managers?
Training and Development Managers: AI can already handle 2 of 12 tasks; the work mostly needs a frontier-tier model.
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Every task, scored
The 12 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for Training and Development Managers, from most to least exposed. 2 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.
| Task | AI exposure | Evidence | Model tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Develop and organize training manuals, multimedia visual aids, and other educational materials. | Observed | Frontier | |
| Review and evaluate training and apprenticeship programs for compliance with government standards. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Analyze training needs to develop new training programs or modify and improve existing programs. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Plan, develop, and provide training and staff development programs, using knowledge of the effectiveness of methods such as classroom training, demonstrations, on-the-job training, meetings, conferences, and workshops. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Develop testing and evaluation procedures. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Conduct or arrange for ongoing technical training and personal development classes for staff members. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Coordinate established courses with technical and professional courses provided by community schools, and designate training procedures. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Evaluate instructor performance and the effectiveness of training programs, providing recommendations for improvement. | Observed | Efficient | |
| Confer with management and conduct surveys to identify training needs based on projected production processes, changes, and other factors. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Conduct orientation sessions and arrange on-the-job training for new hires. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Train instructors and supervisors in techniques and skills for training and dealing with employees. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Prepare training budget for department or organization. | Estimated | Standard |
Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 2 of 12 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 10 of 12. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.
The model tier this role needs
A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 100% of the work is something AI can address at some tier.
Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.
Wages, employment and outlook
- US employment
- 48,050
- Median annual wage
- $133,000
- Middle half of earners
- $101,850 to $176,870
- Projected change, 2024 to 2034
- +5.8%
Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034.
Adjacent roles
The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.
- Training and Development Specialists 77% skill overlap, about 8 months to move Exposure48
- Human Resources Managers 63% skill overlap, about 13 months to move Exposure43
- Marketing Managers 60% skill overlap, about 14 months to move Exposure59
- Sales Managers 58% skill overlap, about 15 months to move Exposure45
- Wind Energy Development Managers 57% skill overlap, about 16 months to move Exposure53
Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.
Questions about Training and Development Managers and AI
Will AI replace Training and Development Managers?
AI already handles 2 of the 12 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 49 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by +5.8% from 2024 to 2034.
What is the AI exposure of Training and Development Managers?
49 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 2 of the 12 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 10 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.
Which Training and Development Managers tasks can AI already do?
The tasks with the highest exposure are: Develop and organize training manuals, multimedia visual aids, and other educational materials; Review and evaluate training and apprenticeship programs for compliance with government standards. They are the tasks that reach 60 or more.
What AI model tier does this role need?
A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.
How many people work as Training and Development Managers, and what do they earn?
48,050 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $133,000 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of +5.8% from 2024 to 2034.
How to cite
Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.
JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: Training and Development Managers. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/training-and-development-managers
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