AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 41-1012.00

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers?

First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers: AI can already handle 2 of 18 tasks; the work mostly needs a frontier-tier model.

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Every task, scored

The 18 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers, from most to least exposed. 2 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.

Task AI exposure Evidence Model tier Importance
Hire, train, and evaluate personnel. 65 Estimated Standard 3.9
Analyze details of sales territories to assess their growth potential and to set quotas. 65 Estimated Frontier 3.8
Monitor sales staff performance to ensure that goals are met. 55 Estimated Standard 4.3
Formulate pricing policies on merchandise according to profitability requirements. 55 Estimated Frontier 4.1
Visit retailers and sales representatives to promote products and gather information. 55 Estimated Efficient 4.1
Prepare sales and inventory reports for management and budget departments. 55 Estimated Efficient 4.0
Direct and supervise employees engaged in sales, inventory-taking, reconciling cash receipts, or performing specific services. 55 Estimated Standard 4.0
Examine products purchased for resale or received for storage to determine product condition. 55 Estimated Frontier 3.9
Examine merchandise to ensure correct pricing and display, and that it functions as advertised. 55 Estimated Standard 3.9
Listen to and resolve customer complaints regarding services, products, or personnel. 55 Estimated Standard 3.9
Keep records pertaining to purchases, sales, and requisitions. 55 Estimated Efficient 3.9
Inventory stock and reorder when inventories drop to specified levels. 55 Estimated Frontier 3.8
Prepare rental or lease agreements, specifying charges and payment procedures for use of machinery, tools, or other items. 55 Estimated Efficient 3.3
Confer with company officials to develop methods and procedures to increase sales, expand markets, and promote business. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.8
Plan and prepare work schedules, and assign employees to specific duties. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.8
Coordinate sales promotion activities, such as preparing merchandise displays and advertising copy. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.8
Attend company meetings to exchange product information and coordinate work activities with other departments. 50 Estimated Standard 3.6
Provide staff with assistance in performing difficult or complicated duties. 40 Observed Efficient 4.1

Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 1 of 18 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 17 of 18. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.

The model tier this role needs

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 100% of the work is something AI can address at some tier.

Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.

Wages, employment and outlook

US employment
214,390
Median annual wage
$87,520
Middle half of earners
$63,940 to $122,050
Projected change, 2024 to 2034
0.0%

Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034.

Adjacent roles

The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.

Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.

Questions about First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers and AI

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers?

AI already handles 2 of the 18 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 54 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by 0.0% from 2024 to 2034.

What is the AI exposure of First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers?

54 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 1 of the 18 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 17 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.

Which First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers tasks can AI already do?

The tasks with the highest exposure are: Hire, train, and evaluate personnel; Analyze details of sales territories to assess their growth potential and to set quotas. They are the tasks that reach 60 or more.

What AI model tier does this role need?

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.

How many people work as First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers, and what do they earn?

214,390 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $87,520 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of 0.0% from 2024 to 2034.

How to cite

Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.

JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/first-line-supervisors-of-non-retail-sales-workers

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