AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 45-1011.00
Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers?
First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers: AI can already handle 2 of 30 tasks; most of the work is hands-on, and the part AI can address mostly needs a frontier-tier model.
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Every task, scored
The 30 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers, from most to least exposed. 2 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.
| Task | AI exposure | Evidence | Model tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calculate or monitor budgets for maintenance or development of collections, grounds, or infrastructure. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Confer with managers to evaluate weather or soil conditions, to develop plans or procedures, or to discuss issues such as changes in fertilizers, herbicides, or cultivating techniques. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Train workers in techniques such as planting, harvesting, weeding, or insect identification and in the use of safety measures. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Communicate with forestry personnel regarding forest harvesting or forest management plans, procedures, or schedules. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Inspect crops, fields, or plant stock to determine conditions and need for cultivating, spraying, weeding, or harvesting. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Coordinate dismantling, moving, and setting up equipment at new work sites. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Coordinate the selection and movement of logs from storage areas, according to transportation schedules or production requirements. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Plan work schedules according to personnel and equipment availability. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Read inventory records, customer orders, or shipping schedules to determine required activities. | Observed | Standard | |
| Train workers in tree felling or bucking, operation of tractors or loading machines, yarding or loading techniques, or safety regulations. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Train workers in spawning, rearing, cultivating, and harvesting methods, and in the use of equipment. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Inspect buildings, fences, fields or ranges, supplies, and equipment to determine work to be performed. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Inspect facilities to determine maintenance needs. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Prepare and maintain time or payroll reports, as well as details of personnel actions, such as performance evaluations, hires, promotions, or disciplinary actions. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Direct or assist with the adjustment or repair of equipment or machinery. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Assign tasks such as feeding and treatment of animals, and cleaning and maintenance of animal quarters. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Record the numbers and types of fish or shellfish reared, harvested, released, sold, and shipped. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Monitor workers to ensure that safety regulations are followed, warning or disciplining those who violate safety regulations. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Observe animals for signs of illness, injury, or unusual behavior, notifying veterinarians or managers as warranted. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Observe fish and beds or ponds to detect diseases, monitor fish growth, determine quality of fish, or determine completeness of harvesting. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Treat animal illnesses or injuries, following experience or instructions of veterinarians. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Schedule work crews, equipment, or transportation for several different work locations. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Perform both supervisory and management functions, such as accounting, marketing, and personnel work. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Transport or arrange for transport of animals, equipment, food, animal feed, and other supplies to and from work sites. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Confer with managers to determine production requirements, conditions of equipment and supplies, and work schedules. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Requisition or purchase supplies, such as insecticides, machine parts or lubricants, or tools. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Monitor or oversee construction projects, such as horticultural buildings or irrigation systems. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Issue equipment, such as farm implements, machinery, ladders, or containers to workers, and collect equipment when work is complete. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Monitor operations to identify and solve problems, improve work methods, and ensure compliance with safety, company, and government regulations. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Drive or operate farm machinery, such as trucks, tractors, or self-propelled harvesters, to transport workers or supplies or to cultivate or harvest fields. | Estimated | No tier |
Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 1 of 30 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 29 of 30. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.
The model tier this role needs
A frontier-tier model or lower covers 49% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 49% of the work is something AI can address at some tier, and 51% is hands-on.
Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.
Wages, employment and outlook
- US employment
- 27,960
- Median annual wage
- $59,320
- Middle half of earners
- $46,670 to $75,290
- Projected change, 2024 to 2034
- +2.5%
Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034.
Adjacent roles
The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.
- First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers 77% skill overlap, about 8 months to move Exposure38
- Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers 76% skill overlap, about 9 months to move Exposure46
- First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers 74% skill overlap, about 9 months to move Exposure31
- Farmworkers, Farm, Ranch, and Aquacultural Animals 73% skill overlap, about 10 months to move Exposure16
- First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers 71% skill overlap, about 11 months to move Exposure34
Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.
Questions about First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers and AI
Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers?
AI already handles 2 of the 30 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 28 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by +2.5% from 2024 to 2034.
What is the AI exposure of First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers?
28 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 1 of the 30 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 29 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.
Which First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers tasks can AI already do?
The tasks with the highest exposure are: Calculate or monitor budgets for maintenance or development of collections, grounds, or infrastructure; Confer with managers to evaluate weather or soil conditions, to develop plans or procedures, or to discuss issues such as changes in fertilizers, herbicides, or cultivating techniques. They are the tasks that reach 60 or more.
What AI model tier does this role need?
A frontier-tier model or lower covers 49% of the role's importance-weighted task work, and 51% is hands-on work that no model tier covers. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.
How many people work as First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers, and what do they earn?
27,960 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $59,320 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of +2.5% from 2024 to 2034.
How to cite
Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.
JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/first-line-supervisors-of-farming-fishing-and-forestry-workers
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