AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 37-1012.00

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers?

First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers: AI can already handle 4 of 28 tasks; the work mostly needs a standard-tier model.

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Every task, scored

The 28 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers, from most to least exposed. 4 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.

Task AI exposure Evidence Model tier Importance
Investigate work-related complaints to verify problems and to determine responses. 80 Estimated Efficient 3.7
Review contracts or work assignments to determine service, machine, or workforce requirements for jobs. 65 Estimated Frontier 3.7
Order the performance of corrective work when problems occur and recommend procedural changes to avoid such problems. 60 Estimated Efficient 3.7
Recommend changes in working conditions or equipment used to increase crew efficiency. 60 Estimated Frontier 3.6
Tour grounds, such as parks, botanical gardens, cemeteries, or golf courses, to inspect conditions of plants and soil. 50 Estimated Standard 4.2
Plant or maintain vegetation through activities such as mulching, fertilizing, watering, mowing, or pruning. 50 Estimated Efficient 4.0
Train workers in tasks such as transplanting or pruning trees or shrubs, finishing cement, using equipment, or caring for turf. 50 Estimated Standard 3.9
Confer with other supervisors to coordinate work activities with those of other departments or units. 50 Estimated Standard 3.7
Confer with managers or landscape architects to develop plans or schedules for landscaping maintenance or improvement. 50 Estimated Standard 3.7
Design or supervise the installation of sprinkler systems, calculating water pressure, or valve and pipe coverage needs. 50 Estimated Standard 3.4
Negotiate with customers regarding fees for landscaping, lawn service, or groundskeeping work. 35 Estimated Efficient 4.0
Monitor project activities to ensure that instructions are followed, deadlines are met, and schedules are maintained. 20 Estimated Efficient 4.2
Inspect completed work to ensure conformance to specifications, standards, and contract requirements. 20 Estimated Standard 4.2
Prepare service estimates based on labor, material, and machine costs and maintain budgets for individual projects. 20 Estimated Efficient 3.9
Maintain required records, such as personnel information or project records. 20 Estimated Efficient 3.8
Prepare or maintain required records, such as work activity or personnel reports. 20 Estimated Efficient 3.8
Direct or assist workers engaged in the maintenance or repair of equipment, such as power tools or motorized equipment. 20 Estimated Standard 3.7
Install or maintain landscaped areas, performing tasks such as removing snow, pouring cement curbs, or repairing sidewalks. 20 Estimated Efficient 3.6
Establish and enforce operating procedures and work standards that will ensure adequate performance and personnel safety. 15 Estimated No tier 4.3
Schedule work for crews, depending on work priorities, crew or equipment availability, or weather conditions. 15 Estimated No tier 4.2
Direct activities of workers who perform duties, such as landscaping, cultivating lawns, or pruning trees and shrubs. 15 Estimated No tier 4.2
Direct or perform mixing or application of fertilizers, insecticides, herbicides, or fungicides. 15 Estimated No tier 3.9
Identify diseases or pests affecting landscaping and order appropriate treatments. 15 Estimated No tier 3.9
Inventory supplies of tools, equipment, or materials to ensure that sufficient supplies are available and items are in usable condition. 15 Estimated No tier 3.8
Perform personnel-related activities, such as hiring workers, evaluating staff performance, or taking disciplinary actions when performance problems occur. 15 Estimated No tier 3.8
Provide workers with assistance in performing duties as necessary to meet deadlines. 15 Estimated No tier 3.8
Perform administrative duties, such as authorizing leaves or processing time sheets. 15 Estimated No tier 3.7
Answer inquiries from current or prospective customers regarding methods, materials, or price ranges. 15 Estimated No tier 3.6

Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 0 of 28 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 28 of 28. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.

The model tier this role needs

A standard-tier model or lower covers 57% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 64% of the work is something AI can address at some tier, and 36% is hands-on.

Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.

Wages, employment and outlook

US employment
130,760
Median annual wage
$58,430
Middle half of earners
$47,390 to $72,590
Projected change, 2024 to 2034
+2.3%

Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034.

Adjacent roles

The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.

Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.

Questions about First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers and AI

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers?

AI already handles 4 of the 28 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 31 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by +2.3% from 2024 to 2034.

What is the AI exposure of First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers?

31 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 0 of the 28 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 28 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.

Which First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers tasks can AI already do?

The tasks with the highest exposure are: Investigate work-related complaints to verify problems and to determine responses; Review contracts or work assignments to determine service, machine, or workforce requirements for jobs; Order the performance of corrective work when problems occur and recommend procedural changes to avoid such problems. They are three of the 4 tasks that reach 60 or more.

What AI model tier does this role need?

A standard-tier model or lower covers 57% of the role's importance-weighted task work, and 36% is hands-on work that no model tier covers. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.

How many people work as First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers, and what do they earn?

130,760 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $58,430 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of +2.3% from 2024 to 2034.

How to cite

Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.

JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/first-line-supervisors-of-landscaping-lawn-service-and-groundskeeping-workers

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