AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 11-9013.00

Will AI replace Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers?

Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers: AI can already handle 1 of 30 tasks; the work mostly needs a frontier-tier model.

Have a team in this role?

Get your free 10-role sample: send this role and up to nine others, and a founder sends a board-pack PDF within two business days.

Get your free 10-role sample Book a 15-minute call

Every task, scored

The 30 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers, from most to least exposed. 1 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.

Task AI exposure Evidence Model tier Importance
Prepare reports required by state and federal laws. 75 Estimated Efficient 4.0
Collect and record growth, production, and environmental data. 55 Estimated Efficient 4.5
Direct and monitor the transfer of mature fish to lakes, ponds, streams, or commercial tanks. 55 Estimated Frontier 4.1
Determine how to allocate resources and to respond to unanticipated problems, such as insect infestation, drought, and fire. 55 Estimated Standard 4.1
Devise and participate in activities to improve fish hatching and growth rates, and to prevent disease in hatcheries. 55 Estimated Frontier 4.0
Direct the breeding or raising of stock, such as cattle, poultry, or honeybees, using recognized breeding practices to ensure stock improvement. 55 Estimated Frontier 3.8
Analyze soil to determine types or quantities of fertilizer required for maximum crop production. 55 Estimated Standard 3.7
Analyze market conditions to determine acreage allocations. 55 Estimated Standard 3.4
Conduct or supervise stock examinations to identify diseases or parasites. 55 Estimated Standard 3.0
Determine, administer, and execute policies relating to operations administration and standards, facility maintenance, and safety. 55 Estimated Frontier 3.0
Monitor activities, such as irrigation, chemical application, harvesting, milking, breeding, and grading, to ensure adherence to safety regulations or standards. 55 Estimated Standard 3.0
Obtain financing for and purchase necessary machinery, land, supplies, or livestock. 55 Estimated Efficient 3.0
Manage nurseries that grow horticultural plants for sale to trade or retail customers, for display or exhibition, or for research. 50 Estimated Frontier 4.4
Determine plant growing conditions, such as greenhouses, hydroponics, or natural settings, and set planting and care schedules. 50 Estimated Frontier 4.1
Position and regulate plant irrigation systems, and program environmental and irrigation control computers. 50 Estimated Efficient 4.0
Coordinate clerical, record-keeping, inventory, requisitioning, and marketing activities. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.8
Coordinate the selection and maintenance of brood stock. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.8
Replace chemical insecticides with environmentally friendly practices, such as adding pest-repelling plants to fields. 50 Estimated Efficient 3.1
Determine types or quantities of crops, plants, or livestock to be grown and raised, based on budgets, federal incentives, market conditions, executive directives, projected sales volumes, or soil conditions. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.0
Direct crop production operations, such as planning, tilling, planting, fertilizing, cultivating, spraying, and harvesting. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.0
Monitor environments to ensure maintenance of optimum animal or plant life. 50 Estimated Standard 3.0
Provide information to customers on the care of trees, shrubs, flowers, plants, and lawns. 40 Observed Standard 3.7
Evaluate marketing or sales alternatives for products. 40 Observed Standard 3.0
Negotiate with buyers for the sale, storage, or shipment of crops or livestock. 35 Estimated Standard 3.8
Hire, supervise, and train support workers. 35 Estimated Efficient 3.0
Inspect facilities and equipment for signs of disrepair, and perform necessary maintenance work. 20 Estimated Efficient 3.9
Maintain financial, operational, production, or employment records for farms or ranches. 20 Estimated Efficient 3.9
Conduct inspections to determine crop maturity or condition or to detect disease or insect infestation. 20 Estimated Standard 3.0
Supervise the construction of farm or ranch structures, such as buildings, fences, drainage systems, wells, or roads. 15 Estimated No tier 3.1
Direct and monitor trapping and spawning of fish, egg incubation, and fry rearing, applying knowledge of management and fish culturing techniques. 12 Estimated No tier 4.2

Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 2 of 30 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 28 of 30. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.

The model tier this role needs

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 93% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 93% of the work is something AI can address at some tier, and 7% is hands-on.

Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.

Wages, employment and outlook

US employment
6,500
Median annual wage
$89,900
Middle half of earners
$66,300 to $118,860
Projected change, 2024 to 2034
-1.3%

Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034.

Adjacent roles

The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.

Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.

Questions about Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers and AI

Will AI replace Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers?

AI already handles 1 of the 30 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 46 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by -1.3% from 2024 to 2034.

What is the AI exposure of Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers?

46 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 2 of the 30 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 28 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.

Which Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers tasks can AI already do?

The tasks with the highest exposure are: Prepare reports required by state and federal laws. It is the only task that reach 60 or more.

What AI model tier does this role need?

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 93% of the role's importance-weighted task work. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.

How many people work as Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers, and what do they earn?

6,500 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $89,900 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of -1.3% from 2024 to 2034.

How to cite

Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.

JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/farmers-ranchers-and-other-agricultural-managers

Have a team in this role?

Get your free 10-role sample. Send this role and up to nine others, with no employee data, and a founder sends a PDF in board-pack format within two business days.

Get your free 10-role sample Book a 15-minute call

A founder replies within one business day.