AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 33-1011.00

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers?

First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers: AI can already handle 1 of 23 tasks; the work mostly needs a frontier-tier model.

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Every task, scored

The 23 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers, from most to least exposed. 1 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.

Task AI exposure Evidence Model tier Importance
Review offender information to identify issues that require special attention. 65 Estimated Efficient 4.0
Take, receive, or check periodic inmate counts. 55 Estimated Frontier 4.8
Respond to emergencies, such as escapes. 55 Estimated Efficient 4.6
Supervise and direct the work of correctional officers to ensure the safe custody, discipline, and welfare of inmates. 55 Estimated Frontier 4.6
Supervise or perform searches of inmates or their quarters to locate contraband items. 55 Estimated Standard 4.6
Monitor behavior of subordinates to ensure alert, courteous, and professional behavior toward inmates, parolees, fellow employees, visitors, and the public. 55 Estimated Standard 4.5
Complete administrative paperwork or supervise the preparation or maintenance of records, forms, or reports. 55 Estimated Efficient 4.3
Supervise activities, such as searches, shakedowns, riot control, or institutional tours. 55 Estimated Frontier 4.3
Conduct roll calls of correctional officers. 55 Estimated Frontier 4.3
Resolve problems between inmates. 55 Estimated Frontier 4.3
Set up employee work schedules. 55 Estimated Frontier 4.2
Examine incoming or outgoing mail to ensure conformance with regulations. 55 Estimated Frontier 4.2
Transfer or transport offenders on foot or by driving vehicles, such as trailers, vans, or buses. 55 Estimated Efficient 4.1
Convey correctional officers' or inmates' complaints to superiors. 55 Estimated Standard 4.0
Conduct evaluations of employees' performance. 55 Estimated Standard 3.8
Rate behavior of inmates, promoting acceptable attitudes and behaviors to those with low ratings. 55 Estimated Frontier 3.8
Develop work or security procedures. 40 Observed Standard 4.0
Restrain, secure, or control offenders, using chemical agents, firearms, or other weapons of force as necessary. 35 Estimated Efficient 4.5
Instruct employees or provide on-the-job training. 35 Estimated Efficient 4.3
Maintain order, discipline, and security within assigned areas in accordance with relevant rules, regulations, policies, and laws. 20 Estimated Efficient 4.7
Maintain knowledge of, comply with, and enforce all institutional policies, rules, procedures, and regulations. 20 Estimated Efficient 4.7
Supervise or provide security for offenders performing tasks, such as construction, maintenance, laundry, food service, or other industrial or agricultural operations. 12 Estimated No tier 4.0
Carry injured offenders or employees to safety and provide emergency first aid when necessary. 8 Estimated No tier 4.5

Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 1 of 23 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 22 of 23. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.

The model tier this role needs

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 92% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 92% of the work is something AI can address at some tier, and 9% is hands-on.

Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.

Wages, employment and outlook

US employment
53,380
Median annual wage
$77,970
Middle half of earners
$59,890 to $103,320
Projected change, 2024 to 2034
-2.8%

Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034.

Adjacent roles

The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.

Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.

Questions about First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers and AI

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers?

AI already handles 1 of the 23 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 46 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by -2.8% from 2024 to 2034.

What is the AI exposure of First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers?

46 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 1 of the 23 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 22 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.

Which First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers tasks can AI already do?

The tasks with the highest exposure are: Review offender information to identify issues that require special attention. It is the only task that reach 60 or more.

What AI model tier does this role need?

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 92% of the role's importance-weighted task work. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.

How many people work as First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers, and what do they earn?

53,380 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $77,970 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of -2.8% from 2024 to 2034.

How to cite

Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.

JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/first-line-supervisors-of-correctional-officers

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