AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 33-1012.00
Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives?
First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives: AI can already handle 14 of 20 tasks; the work mostly needs a frontier-tier model.
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Every task, scored
The 20 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives, from most to least exposed. 14 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.
| Task | AI exposure | Evidence | Model tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prepare work schedules and assign duties to subordinates. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Investigate and resolve personnel problems within organization and charges of misconduct against staff. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Direct collection, preparation, and handling of evidence and personal property of prisoners. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Explain police operations to subordinates to assist them in performing their job duties. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Maintain logs, prepare reports, and direct the preparation, handling, and maintenance of departmental records. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Inform personnel of changes in regulations and policies, implications of new or amended laws, and new techniques of police work. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Discipline staff for violation of department rules and regulations. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Conduct raids and order detention of witnesses and suspects for questioning. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Cooperate with court personnel and officials from other law enforcement agencies and testify in court, as necessary. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Direct release or transfer of prisoners. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Prepare news releases and respond to police correspondence. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Requisition and issue equipment and supplies. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Prepare budgets and manage expenditures of department funds. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Monitor and evaluate the job performance of subordinates, and authorize promotions and transfers. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Supervise and coordinate the investigation of criminal cases, offering guidance and expertise to investigators, and ensuring that procedures are conducted in accordance with laws and regulations. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Meet with civic, educational, and community groups to develop community programs and events, and to discuss law enforcement subjects. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Review contents of written orders to ensure adherence to legal requirements. | Observed | Efficient | |
| Develop, implement, and revise departmental policies and procedures. | Observed | Standard | |
| Train staff in proper police work procedures. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Inspect facilities, supplies, vehicles, and equipment to ensure conformance to standards. | Estimated | Efficient |
Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 2 of 20 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 18 of 20. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.
The model tier this role needs
A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 100% of the work is something AI can address at some tier.
Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.
Wages, employment and outlook
- US employment
- 154,610
- Median annual wage
- $106,040
- Middle half of earners
- $81,860 to $132,620
- Projected change, 2024 to 2034
- +2.9%
Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034.
Adjacent roles
The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.
- First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers 78% skill overlap, about 8 months to move Exposure35
- First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers 74% skill overlap, about 9 months to move Exposure46
- First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers 72% skill overlap, about 10 months to move Exposure33
- Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers 69% skill overlap, about 11 months to move Exposure65
- Detectives and Criminal Investigators 65% skill overlap, about 12 months to move Exposure33
Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.
Questions about First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives and AI
Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives?
AI already handles 14 of the 20 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 64 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by +2.9% from 2024 to 2034.
What is the AI exposure of First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives?
64 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 2 of the 20 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 18 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.
Which First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives tasks can AI already do?
The tasks with the highest exposure are: Prepare work schedules and assign duties to subordinates; Investigate and resolve personnel problems within organization and charges of misconduct against staff; Direct collection, preparation, and handling of evidence and personal property of prisoners. They are three of the 14 tasks that reach 60 or more.
What AI model tier does this role need?
A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.
How many people work as First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives, and what do they earn?
154,610 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $106,040 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of +2.9% from 2024 to 2034.
How to cite
Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.
JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/first-line-supervisors-of-police-and-detectives
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