AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 33-1021.00

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers?

First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers: AI can already handle 7 of 30 tasks; the work mostly needs a standard-tier model.

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Every task, scored

The 30 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers, from most to least exposed. 7 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.

Task AI exposure Evidence Model tier Importance
Assess nature and extent of fire, condition of building, danger to adjacent buildings, and water supply status to determine crew or company requirements. 65 Estimated Standard 4.6
Evaluate the performance of assigned firefighting personnel. 65 Estimated Standard 4.2
Evaluate fire station procedures to ensure efficiency and enforcement of departmental regulations. 65 Estimated Standard 3.9
Study and interpret fire safety codes to establish procedures for issuing permits to handle hazardous or flammable substances. 65 Estimated Frontier 3.8
Evaluate size, location, and condition of fires. 65 Estimated Standard 3.0
Recommend personnel actions related to disciplinary procedures, performance, leaves of absence, and grievances. 60 Estimated Frontier 3.9
Recommend equipment modifications or new equipment purchases. 60 Estimated Frontier 3.7
Direct the training of firefighters, assigning of instructors to training classes, and providing of supervisors with reports on training progress and status. 35 Estimated Standard 4.2
Assign firefighters to jobs at strategic locations to facilitate rescue of persons and maximize application of extinguishing agents. 30 Estimated Efficient 4.7
Provide emergency medical services as required, and perform light to heavy rescue functions at emergencies. 30 Estimated Efficient 4.7
Communicate fire details to superiors, subordinates, or interagency dispatch centers, using two-way radios. 30 Estimated Efficient 4.6
Instruct and drill fire department personnel in assigned duties, including firefighting, medical care, hazardous materials response, fire prevention, and related subjects. 30 Estimated Efficient 4.4
Schedule employee work assignments and set work priorities. 30 Estimated Standard 4.1
Monitor fire suppression expenditures to ensure that they are necessary and reasonable. 30 Estimated Standard 4.1
Direct firefighters in station maintenance duties, and participate in these duties. 30 Estimated Efficient 3.9
Direct investigation of cases of suspected arson, hazards, and false alarms and submit reports outlining findings. 30 Estimated Efficient 3.8
Analyze burn conditions and results, and prepare postburn reports. 30 Estimated Efficient 3.0
Recruit or hire firefighting personnel. 30 Estimated Standard 3.0
Maintain fire suppression equipment in good condition, checking equipment periodically to ensure that it is ready for use. 20 Estimated Efficient 4.4
Perform maintenance and minor repairs on firefighting equipment, including vehicles, and write and submit proposals to modify, replace, and repair equipment. 20 Estimated Efficient 4.1
Inspect and test new and existing fire protection systems, fire detection systems, and fire safety equipment to ensure that they are operating properly. 20 Estimated Efficient 4.1
Maintain required maps and records. 20 Estimated Efficient 4.0
Inspect stations, uniforms, equipment, or recreation areas to ensure compliance with safety standards, taking corrective action as necessary. 20 Estimated Efficient 3.9
Perform administrative duties, such as compiling and maintaining records, completing forms, preparing reports, or composing correspondence. 20 Estimated Efficient 3.9
Supervise and participate in the inspection of properties to ensure that they are in compliance with applicable fire codes, ordinances, laws, regulations, and standards. 20 Estimated Efficient 3.6
Maintain knowledge of fire laws and fire prevention techniques and tactics. 20 Estimated Efficient 3.0
Participate in creating fire safety guidelines and evacuation schemes for nonresidential buildings. 15 Estimated No tier 4.0
Serve as a working leader of an engine, hand, helicopter, or prescribed fire crew of three or more firefighters. 10 Estimated No tier 4.5
Plan, direct, and supervise prescribed burn projects. 10 Estimated No tier 3.0
Drive crew carriers to transport firefighters to fire sites. 8 Estimated No tier 4.0

Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 0 of 30 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 30 of 30. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.

The model tier this role needs

A standard-tier model or lower covers 77% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 87% of the work is something AI can address at some tier, and 13% is hands-on.

Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.

Wages, employment and outlook

US employment
99,140
Median annual wage
$93,530
Middle half of earners
$72,140 to $119,500
Projected change, 2024 to 2034
+3.4%

Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034.

Adjacent roles

The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.

Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.

Questions about First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers and AI

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers?

AI already handles 7 of the 30 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 33 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by +3.4% from 2024 to 2034.

What is the AI exposure of First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers?

33 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 0 of the 30 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 30 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.

Which First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers tasks can AI already do?

The tasks with the highest exposure are: Assess nature and extent of fire, condition of building, danger to adjacent buildings, and water supply status to determine crew or company requirements; Evaluate the performance of assigned firefighting personnel; Evaluate fire station procedures to ensure efficiency and enforcement of departmental regulations. They are three of the 7 tasks that reach 60 or more.

What AI model tier does this role need?

A standard-tier model or lower covers 77% of the role's importance-weighted task work. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.

How many people work as First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers, and what do they earn?

99,140 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $93,530 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of +3.4% from 2024 to 2034.

How to cite

Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.

JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/first-line-supervisors-of-firefighting-and-prevention-workers

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