AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 11-3071.00

Will AI replace Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers?

Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers: AI can already handle 20 of 30 tasks; the work mostly needs a frontier-tier model.

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Every task, scored

The 30 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers, from most to least exposed. 20 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.

Task AI exposure Evidence Model tier Importance
Analyze expenditures and other financial information to develop plans, policies, or budgets for increasing profits or improving services. 89 Observed Standard 3.7
Plan or implement improvements to internal or external systems or processes. 79 Observed Frontier 3.0
Supervise the activities of workers engaged in receiving, storing, testing, and shipping products or materials. 75 Estimated Frontier 4.5
Collaborate with other departments to integrate logistics with business systems or processes, such as customer sales, order management, accounting, or shipping. 75 Estimated Standard 4.1
Analyze all aspects of corporate logistics to determine the most cost-effective or efficient means of transporting products or supplies. 75 Estimated Standard 4.1
Resolve problems concerning transportation, logistics systems, imports or exports, or customer issues. 75 Estimated Standard 4.1
Monitor operations to ensure that staff members comply with administrative policies and procedures, safety rules, union contracts, environmental policies, or government regulations. 75 Estimated Standard 4.0
Analyze the financial impact of proposed logistics changes, such as routing, shipping modes, product volumes or mixes, or carriers. 75 Estimated Standard 4.0
Monitor inventory levels of products or materials in warehouses. 75 Estimated Frontier 4.0
Establish or monitor specific supply chain-based performance measurement systems. 75 Estimated Standard 3.9
Prepare and manage departmental budgets. 75 Estimated Frontier 3.9
Monitor product import or export processes to ensure compliance with regulatory or legal requirements. 75 Estimated Standard 3.8
Implement specific customer requirements, such as internal reporting or customized transportation metrics. 75 Estimated Frontier 3.7
Examine invoices and shipping manifests for conformity to tariff and customs regulations. 75 Estimated Standard 3.7
Direct inbound or outbound operations, such as transportation or warehouse activities, safety performance, and logistics quality management. 75 Estimated Frontier 3.0
Evaluate contractors or business partners for operational efficiency or safety or environmental performance records. 65 Estimated Standard 3.6
Review invoices, work orders, consumption reports, or demand forecasts to estimate peak performance periods and to issue work assignments. 65 Estimated Standard 3.0
Prepare management recommendations, such as proposed fee and tariff increases or schedule changes. 60 Estimated Standard 3.8
Advise sales and billing departments of transportation charges for customers' accounts. 60 Estimated Standard 3.8
Recommend or authorize capital expenditures for acquisition of new equipment or property to increase efficiency and services. 60 Estimated Frontier 3.0
Plan, develop, or implement warehouse safety and security programs and activities. 50 Estimated Frontier 4.3
Plan, organize, or manage the work of subordinate staff to ensure that the work is accomplished in a manner consistent with organizational requirements. 50 Estimated Frontier 4.3
Develop and document standard and emergency operating procedures for receiving, handling, storing, shipping, or salvaging products or materials. 50 Estimated Frontier 4.0
Confer with department heads to coordinate warehouse activities, such as production, sales, records control, or purchasing. 50 Estimated Standard 3.7
Plan or implement energy saving changes to transportation services, such as reducing routes, optimizing capacities, employing alternate modes of transportation, or minimizing idling. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.7
Develop or implement plans for facility modification or expansion, such as equipment purchase or changes in space allocation or structural design. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.5
Interview, select, and train warehouse and supervisory personnel. 35 Estimated Efficient 3.8
Maintain metrics, reports, process documentation, customer service logs, or training or safety records. 35 Estimated Efficient 3.7
Negotiate with carriers, warehouse operators, or insurance company representatives for services and preferential rates. 35 Estimated Standard 3.6
Inspect physical conditions of warehouses, vehicle fleets, or equipment and order testing, maintenance, repairs, or replacements. 20 Estimated Efficient 4.3

Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 2 of 30 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 28 of 30. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.

The model tier this role needs

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 100% of the work is something AI can address at some tier.

Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.

Wages, employment and outlook

US employment
221,180
Median annual wage
$107,230
Middle half of earners
$82,440 to $146,770
Projected change, 2024 to 2034
+6.1%

Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034. BLS publishes these figures by SOC code, so O*NET occupations that share a SOC code show the same figures.

Adjacent roles

The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.

Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.

Questions about Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers and AI

Will AI replace Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers?

AI already handles 20 of the 30 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 62 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by +6.1% from 2024 to 2034.

What is the AI exposure of Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers?

62 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 2 of the 30 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 28 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.

Which Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers tasks can AI already do?

The tasks with the highest exposure are: Analyze expenditures and other financial information to develop plans, policies, or budgets for increasing profits or improving services; Plan or implement improvements to internal or external systems or processes; Supervise the activities of workers engaged in receiving, storing, testing, and shipping products or materials. They are three of the 20 tasks that reach 60 or more.

What AI model tier does this role need?

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.

How many people work as Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers, and what do they earn?

221,180 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $107,230 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of +6.1% from 2024 to 2034.

How to cite

Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.

JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/transportation-storage-and-distribution-managers

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