AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 11-3071.04

Will AI replace Supply Chain Managers?

Supply Chain Managers: AI can already handle 5 of 30 tasks; the work mostly needs a frontier-tier model.

Have a team in this role?

Get your free 10-role sample: send this role and up to nine others, and a founder sends a board-pack PDF within two business days.

Get your free 10-role sample Book a 15-minute call

Every task, scored

The 30 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for Supply Chain Managers, from most to least exposed. 5 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.

Task AI exposure Evidence Model tier Importance
Monitor suppliers' activities to assess performance in meeting quality or delivery requirements. 65 Estimated Standard 4.0
Develop or implement procedures or systems to evaluate or select suppliers. 65 Estimated Frontier 3.4
Evaluate and select information or other technology solutions to improve tracking and reporting of materials or products distribution, storage, or inventory. 65 Estimated Standard 3.3
Review or update supply chain practices in accordance with new or changing environmental policies, standards, regulations, or laws. 65 Estimated Frontier 3.3
Investigate or review the carbon footprints and environmental performance records of current or potential storage and distribution service providers. 65 Estimated Efficient 2.5
Manage activities related to strategic or tactical purchasing, material requirements planning, controlling inventory, warehousing, or receiving. 50 Estimated Frontier 4.2
Develop procedures for coordination of supply chain management with other functional areas, such as sales, marketing, finance, production, or quality assurance. 50 Estimated Frontier 4.1
Confer with supply chain planners to forecast demand or create supply plans that ensure availability of materials or products. 50 Estimated Standard 4.1
Design or implement supply chains that support business strategies adapted to changing market conditions, new business opportunities, or cost reduction strategies. 50 Estimated Frontier 4.0
Design or implement plant warehousing strategies for production materials or finished products. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.6
Design, implement, or oversee product take back or reverse logistics programs to ensure products are recycled, reused, or responsibly disposed. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.6
Forecast material costs or develop standard cost lists. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.4
Design or implement supply chains that support environmental policies. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.3
Negotiate prices and terms with suppliers, vendors, or freight forwarders. 35 Estimated Standard 4.0
Determine appropriate equipment and staffing levels to load, unload, move, or store materials. 30 Estimated Standard 4.2
Select transportation routes to maximize economy by combining shipments or consolidating warehousing and distribution. 30 Estimated Standard 4.1
Define performance metrics for measurement, comparison, or evaluation of supply chain factors, such as product cost or quality. 30 Estimated Standard 4.1
Implement new or improved supply chain processes to improve efficiency or performance. 30 Estimated Standard 4.1
Analyze inventories to determine how to increase inventory turns, reduce waste, or optimize customer service. 30 Estimated Efficient 4.1
Analyze information about supplier performance or procurement program success. 30 Estimated Efficient 4.0
Meet with suppliers to discuss performance metrics, to provide performance feedback, or to discuss production forecasts or changes. 30 Estimated Efficient 4.0
Monitor forecasts and quotas to identify changes and predict effects on supply chain activities. 30 Estimated Efficient 3.7
Participate in the coordination of engineering changes, product line extensions, or new product launches to ensure orderly and timely transitions in material or production flow. 30 Estimated Standard 3.6
Identify or qualify new suppliers in collaboration with other departments, such as procurement, engineering, or quality assurance. 30 Estimated Efficient 3.6
Document physical supply chain processes, such as workflows, cycle times, position responsibilities, or system flows. 30 Estimated Efficient 3.4
Diagram supply chain models to help facilitate discussions with customers. 30 Estimated Efficient 3.4
Identify opportunities to reuse or recycle materials to minimize consumption of new materials, minimize waste, or to convert wastes to by-products. 30 Estimated Efficient 3.3
Locate or select biodegradable, non-toxic, or other environmentally friendly raw materials for manufacturing processes. 30 Estimated Efficient 3.1
Appraise vendor manufacturing capabilities through on-site observations or other measurements. 30 Estimated Efficient 2.8
Conduct or oversee the conduct of life cycle analyses to determine the environmental impacts of products, processes, or systems. 30 Estimated Efficient 2.7

Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 0 of 30 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 30 of 30. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.

The model tier this role needs

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 100% of the work is something AI can address at some tier.

Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.

Wages, employment and outlook

US employment
221,180
Median annual wage
$107,230
Middle half of earners
$82,440 to $146,770
Projected change, 2024 to 2034
+6.1%

Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034. BLS publishes these figures by SOC code, so O*NET occupations that share a SOC code show the same figures.

Adjacent roles

The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.

Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.

Questions about Supply Chain Managers and AI

Will AI replace Supply Chain Managers?

AI already handles 5 of the 30 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 41 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by +6.1% from 2024 to 2034.

What is the AI exposure of Supply Chain Managers?

41 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 0 of the 30 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 30 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.

Which Supply Chain Managers tasks can AI already do?

The tasks with the highest exposure are: Monitor suppliers' activities to assess performance in meeting quality or delivery requirements; Develop or implement procedures or systems to evaluate or select suppliers; Evaluate and select information or other technology solutions to improve tracking and reporting of materials or products distribution, storage, or inventory. They are three of the 5 tasks that reach 60 or more.

What AI model tier does this role need?

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.

How many people work as Supply Chain Managers, and what do they earn?

221,180 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $107,230 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of +6.1% from 2024 to 2034.

How to cite

Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.

JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: Supply Chain Managers. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/supply-chain-managers

Have a team in this role?

Get your free 10-role sample. Send this role and up to nine others, with no employee data, and a founder sends a PDF in board-pack format within two business days.

Get your free 10-role sample Book a 15-minute call

A founder replies within one business day.