AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 15-1299.09
Will AI replace Information Technology Project Managers?
Information Technology Project Managers: AI can already handle 6 of 21 tasks; the work mostly needs a frontier-tier model.
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Every task, scored
The 21 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for Information Technology Project Managers, from most to least exposed. 6 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.
| Task | AI exposure | Evidence | Model tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Develop or update project plans for information technology projects including information such as project objectives, technologies, systems, information specifications, schedules, funding, and staffing. | Observed | Frontier | |
| Assess current or future customer needs and priorities by communicating directly with customers, conducting surveys, or other methods. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Perform risk assessments to develop response strategies. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Identify, review, or select vendors or consultants to meet project needs. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Initiate, review, or approve modifications to project plans. | Observed | Standard | |
| Prepare project status reports by collecting, analyzing, and summarizing information and trends. | Observed | Frontier | |
| Manage project execution to ensure adherence to budget, schedule, and scope. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Confer with project personnel to identify and resolve problems. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Monitor or track project milestones and deliverables. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Submit project deliverables, ensuring adherence to quality standards. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Schedule and facilitate meetings related to information technology projects. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Identify need for initial or supplemental project resources. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Monitor the performance of project team members, providing and documenting performance feedback. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Assign duties, responsibilities, and spans of authority to project personnel. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Direct or coordinate activities of project personnel. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Develop implementation plans that include analyses such as cost-benefit or return on investment (ROI). | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Develop and manage annual budgets for information technology projects. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Establish and execute a project communication plan. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Coordinate recruitment or selection of project personnel. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Develop and manage work breakdown structure (WBS) of information technology projects. | Observed | Efficient | |
| Negotiate with project stakeholders or suppliers to obtain resources or materials. | Estimated | Standard |
Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 4 of 21 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 17 of 21. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.
The model tier this role needs
A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 100% of the work is something AI can address at some tier.
Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.
Wages, employment and outlook
- US employment
- 435,370
- Median annual wage
- $116,580
- Middle half of earners
- $79,370 to $157,500
- Projected change, 2024 to 2034
- +8.2%
Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034. BLS publishes these figures by SOC code, so O*NET occupations that share a SOC code show the same figures.
Adjacent roles
The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.
- Computer and Information Systems Managers 74% skill overlap, about 10 months to move Exposure61
- Project Management Specialists 62% skill overlap, about 14 months to move Exposure57
- Architectural and Engineering Managers 60% skill overlap, about 14 months to move Exposure63
- Security Managers 58% skill overlap, about 15 months to move Exposure54
- Marketing Managers 56% skill overlap, about 16 months to move Exposure59
Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.
Questions about Information Technology Project Managers and AI
Will AI replace Information Technology Project Managers?
AI already handles 6 of the 21 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 56 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by +8.2% from 2024 to 2034.
What is the AI exposure of Information Technology Project Managers?
56 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 4 of the 21 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 17 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.
Which Information Technology Project Managers tasks can AI already do?
The tasks with the highest exposure are: Develop or update project plans for information technology projects including information such as project objectives, technologies, systems, information specifications, schedules, funding, and staffing; Assess current or future customer needs and priorities by communicating directly with customers, conducting surveys, or other methods; Perform risk assessments to develop response strategies. They are three of the 6 tasks that reach 60 or more.
What AI model tier does this role need?
A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.
How many people work as Information Technology Project Managers, and what do they earn?
435,370 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $116,580 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of +8.2% from 2024 to 2034.
How to cite
Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.
JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: Information Technology Project Managers. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/information-technology-project-managers
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