AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 11-9041.00

Will AI replace Architectural and Engineering Managers?

Architectural and Engineering Managers: AI can already handle 13 of 19 tasks; the work mostly needs a frontier-tier model.

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Every task, scored

The 19 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for Architectural and Engineering Managers, from most to least exposed. 13 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.

Task AI exposure Evidence Model tier Importance
Manage the coordination and overall integration of technical activities in architecture or engineering projects. 75 Estimated Frontier 4.3
Confer with management, production, or marketing staff to discuss project specifications or procedures. 75 Estimated Standard 3.4
Establish scientific or technical goals within broad outlines provided by top management. 75 Estimated Frontier 3.2
Direct recruitment, placement, and evaluation of architecture or engineering project staff. 75 Estimated Frontier 3.1
Solicit project support by conferring with officials or providing information to the public. 75 Estimated Standard 2.9
Assess project feasibility by analyzing technology, resource needs, or market demand. 74 Observed Standard 3.4
Direct, review, or approve project design changes. 65 Estimated Standard 4.0
Review, recommend, or approve contracts or cost estimates. 65 Estimated Frontier 3.4
Perform administrative functions, such as reviewing or writing reports, approving expenditures, enforcing rules, or purchasing of materials or services. 65 Estimated Frontier 3.1
Evaluate the environmental impacts of engineering, architecture, or research and development activities. 65 Estimated Efficient 3.0
Evaluate environmental regulations or social pressures related to environmental issues to inform strategic or operational decision-making. 65 Estimated Standard 2.9
Present and explain proposals, reports, or findings to clients. 65 Observed Standard 3.5
Consult or negotiate with clients to prepare project specifications. 60 Estimated Frontier 3.8
Develop or implement policies, standards, or procedures for engineering and technical work. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.3
Plan or direct the installation, testing, operation, maintenance, or repair of facilities or equipment. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.3
Identify environmental threats or opportunities associated with the development and launch of new technologies. 50 Estimated Efficient 3.3
Plan, direct, or coordinate survey work with other project activities. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.1
Develop or implement programs to improve sustainability or reduce the environmental impacts of engineering or architecture activities or operations. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.1
Prepare budgets, bids, or contracts. 40 Observed Efficient 3.5

Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 3 of 19 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 16 of 19. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.

The model tier this role needs

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 100% of the work is something AI can address at some tier.

Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.

Wages, employment and outlook

US employment
220,260
Median annual wage
$171,270
Middle half of earners
$139,360 to $212,500
Projected change, 2024 to 2034
+3.8%

Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034. BLS publishes these figures by SOC code, so O*NET occupations that share a SOC code show the same figures.

Adjacent roles

The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.

Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.

Questions about Architectural and Engineering Managers and AI

Will AI replace Architectural and Engineering Managers?

AI already handles 13 of the 19 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 63 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by +3.8% from 2024 to 2034.

What is the AI exposure of Architectural and Engineering Managers?

63 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 3 of the 19 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 16 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.

Which Architectural and Engineering Managers tasks can AI already do?

The tasks with the highest exposure are: Manage the coordination and overall integration of technical activities in architecture or engineering projects; Confer with management, production, or marketing staff to discuss project specifications or procedures; Establish scientific or technical goals within broad outlines provided by top management. They are three of the 13 tasks that reach 60 or more.

What AI model tier does this role need?

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.

How many people work as Architectural and Engineering Managers, and what do they earn?

220,260 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $171,270 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of +3.8% from 2024 to 2034.

How to cite

Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.

JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: Architectural and Engineering Managers. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/architectural-and-engineering-managers

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