AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 13-1082.00
Will AI replace Project Management Specialists?
Project Management Specialists: AI can already handle 6 of 20 tasks; the work mostly needs a frontier-tier model.
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Every task, scored
The 20 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for Project Management Specialists, from most to least exposed. 6 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.
| Task | AI exposure | Evidence | Model tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Develop or update project plans including information such as objectives, technologies, schedules, funding, and staffing. | Observed | Standard | |
| Propose, review, or approve modifications to project plans. | Observed | Standard | |
| Identify project needs such as resources, staff, or finances by reviewing project objectives and schedules. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Identify, review, or select vendors or consultants to meet project needs. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Request and review project updates to ensure deadlines are met. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Produce and distribute project documents. | Observed | Efficient | |
| Assign duties or responsibilities to project personnel. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Communicate with key stakeholders to determine project requirements and objectives. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Confer with project personnel to identify and resolve problems. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Create project status presentations for delivery to customers or project personnel. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Monitor costs incurred by project staff to identify budget issues. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Monitor project milestones and deliverables. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Monitor the performance of project team members to provide performance feedback. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Prepare and submit budget estimates, progress reports, or cost tracking reports. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Recruit or hire project personnel. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Schedule or facilitate project meetings. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Submit project deliverables to clients, ensuring adherence to quality standards. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Plan, schedule, or coordinate project activities to meet deadlines. | Observed | Standard | |
| Report project status, such as budget, resources, technical issues, or customer satisfaction, to managers. | Observed | Standard | |
| Negotiate with project stakeholders or suppliers to obtain resources or materials. | Estimated | Standard |
Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 5 of 20 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 15 of 20. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.
The model tier this role needs
A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 100% of the work is something AI can address at some tier.
Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.
Wages, employment and outlook
- US employment
- 1,066,670
- Median annual wage
- $102,320
- Middle half of earners
- $78,440 to $133,100
- Projected change, 2024 to 2034
- +5.6%
Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034.
Adjacent roles
The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.
- Document Management Specialists 62% skill overlap, about 14 months to move Exposure67
- Information Technology Project Managers 62% skill overlap, about 14 months to move Exposure56
- Security Management Specialists 60% skill overlap, about 14 months to move Exposure43
- Management Analysts 58% skill overlap, about 15 months to move Exposure55
- Sustainability Specialists 58% skill overlap, about 15 months to move Exposure60
Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.
Questions about Project Management Specialists and AI
Will AI replace Project Management Specialists?
AI already handles 6 of the 20 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 57 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by +5.6% from 2024 to 2034.
What is the AI exposure of Project Management Specialists?
57 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 5 of the 20 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 15 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.
Which Project Management Specialists tasks can AI already do?
The tasks with the highest exposure are: Develop or update project plans including information such as objectives, technologies, schedules, funding, and staffing; Propose, review, or approve modifications to project plans; Identify project needs such as resources, staff, or finances by reviewing project objectives and schedules. They are three of the 6 tasks that reach 60 or more.
What AI model tier does this role need?
A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.
How many people work as Project Management Specialists, and what do they earn?
1,066,670 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $102,320 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of +5.6% from 2024 to 2034.
How to cite
Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.
JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: Project Management Specialists. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/project-management-specialists
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