AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 49-1011.00

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers?

First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers: AI can already handle 9 of 22 tasks; the work mostly needs a frontier-tier model.

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Every task, scored

The 22 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers, from most to least exposed. 9 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.

Task AI exposure Evidence Model tier Importance
Inspect, test, and measure completed work, using devices such as hand tools or gauges to verify conformance to standards or repair requirements. 80 Estimated Standard 3.9
Compile operational or personnel records, such as time and production records, inventory data, repair or maintenance statistics, or test results. 80 Estimated Standard 3.6
Investigate accidents or injuries and prepare reports of findings. 75 Estimated Efficient 3.6
Monitor employees' work levels and review work performance. 65 Estimated Frontier 3.9
Interpret specifications, blueprints, or job orders to construct templates and lay out reference points for workers. 65 Estimated Efficient 3.9
Confer with personnel, such as management, engineering, quality control, customer, or union workers' representatives, to coordinate work activities, resolve employee grievances, or identify and review resource needs. 65 Estimated Standard 3.7
Review, evaluate, accept, and coordinate completion of work bid from contractors. 65 Estimated Frontier 3.6
Develop, implement, or evaluate maintenance policies and procedures. 65 Estimated Standard 3.5
Recommend or initiate personnel actions, such as hires, promotions, transfers, discharges, or disciplinary measures. 60 Estimated Frontier 3.6
Develop or implement electronic maintenance programs or computer information management systems. 50 Estimated Standard 3.4
Design equipment configurations to meet personnel needs. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.1
Compute estimates and actual costs of factors such as materials, labor, or outside contractors. 40 Observed Efficient 3.8
Inspect and monitor work areas, examine tools and equipment, and provide employee safety training to prevent, detect, and correct unsafe conditions or violations of procedures and safety rules. 35 Estimated Efficient 3.9
Conduct or arrange for worker training in safety, repair, or maintenance techniques, operational procedures, or equipment use. 35 Estimated Efficient 3.5
Perform skilled repair or maintenance operations, using equipment such as hand or power tools, hydraulic presses or shears, or welding equipment. 20 Estimated Efficient 3.8
Examine objects, systems, or facilities and analyze information to determine needed installations, services, or repairs. 20 Estimated Efficient 3.6
Meet with vendors or suppliers to discuss products used in repair work. 20 Estimated Efficient 3.4
Participate in budget preparation and administration, coordinating purchasing and documentation and monitoring departmental expenditures. 15 Estimated No tier 3.8
Monitor tool and part inventories and the condition and maintenance of shops to ensure adequate working conditions. 15 Estimated No tier 3.7
Requisition materials and supplies, such as tools, equipment, or replacement parts. 15 Estimated No tier 3.7
Determine schedules, sequences, and assignments for work activities, based on work priority, quantity of equipment, and skill of personnel. 15 Estimated No tier 3.7
Counsel employees about work-related issues and assist employees to correct job-skill deficiencies. 15 Estimated No tier 3.6

Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 1 of 22 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 21 of 22. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.

The model tier this role needs

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 77% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 77% of the work is something AI can address at some tier, and 23% is hands-on.

Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.

Wages, employment and outlook

US employment
617,500
Median annual wage
$79,860
Middle half of earners
$62,690 to $101,360
Projected change, 2024 to 2034
+3.1%

Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034.

Adjacent roles

The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.

Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.

Questions about First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers and AI

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers?

AI already handles 9 of the 22 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 44 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by +3.1% from 2024 to 2034.

What is the AI exposure of First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers?

44 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 1 of the 22 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 21 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.

Which First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers tasks can AI already do?

The tasks with the highest exposure are: Inspect, test, and measure completed work, using devices such as hand tools or gauges to verify conformance to standards or repair requirements; Compile operational or personnel records, such as time and production records, inventory data, repair or maintenance statistics, or test results; Investigate accidents or injuries and prepare reports of findings. They are three of the 9 tasks that reach 60 or more.

What AI model tier does this role need?

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 77% of the role's importance-weighted task work, and 23% is hands-on work that no model tier covers. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.

How many people work as First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers, and what do they earn?

617,500 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $79,860 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of +3.1% from 2024 to 2034.

How to cite

Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.

JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/first-line-supervisors-of-mechanics-installers-and-repairers

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