AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 47-1011.00
Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers?
First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers: AI can already handle 2 of 15 tasks; the work mostly needs a frontier-tier model.
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Every task, scored
The 15 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers, from most to least exposed. 2 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.
| Task | AI exposure | Evidence | Model tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inspect work progress, equipment, or construction sites to verify safety or to ensure that specifications are met. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Analyze worker or production problems and recommend solutions, such as improving production methods or implementing motivational plans. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Read specifications, such as blueprints, to determine construction requirements or to plan procedures. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Supervise, coordinate, or schedule the activities of construction or extractive workers. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Coordinate work activities with other construction project activities. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Confer with managerial or technical personnel, other departments, or contractors to resolve problems or to coordinate activities. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Estimate material or worker requirements to complete jobs. | Observed | Standard | |
| Record information, such as personnel, production, or operational data on specified forms or reports. | Observed | Efficient | |
| Train workers in construction methods, operation of equipment, safety procedures, or company policies. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Arrange for repairs of equipment or machinery. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Assign work to employees, based on material or worker requirements of specific jobs. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Order or requisition materials or supplies. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Locate, measure, and mark site locations or placement of structures or equipment, using measuring and marking equipment. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Provide assistance to workers engaged in construction or extraction activities, using hand tools or other equipment. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Suggest or initiate personnel actions, such as promotions, transfers, or hires. | Estimated | No tier |
Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 2 of 15 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 13 of 15. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.
The model tier this role needs
A frontier-tier model or lower covers 68% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 68% of the work is something AI can address at some tier, and 32% is hands-on.
Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.
Wages, employment and outlook
- US employment
- 812,210
- Median annual wage
- $79,920
- Middle half of earners
- $63,400 to $101,460
- Projected change, 2024 to 2034
- +5.3%
Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034. BLS publishes these figures by SOC code, so O*NET occupations that share a SOC code show the same figures.
Adjacent roles
The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.
- First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers 73% skill overlap, about 10 months to move Exposure38
- First-Line Supervisors of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, Hand 71% skill overlap, about 11 months to move Exposure30
- Construction Managers 71% skill overlap, about 11 months to move Exposure47
- First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators 70% skill overlap, about 11 months to move Exposure34
- First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers 69% skill overlap, about 11 months to move Exposure44
Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.
Questions about First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers and AI
Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers?
AI already handles 2 of the 15 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 38 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by +5.3% from 2024 to 2034.
What is the AI exposure of First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers?
38 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 2 of the 15 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 13 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.
Which First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers tasks can AI already do?
The tasks with the highest exposure are: Inspect work progress, equipment, or construction sites to verify safety or to ensure that specifications are met; Analyze worker or production problems and recommend solutions, such as improving production methods or implementing motivational plans. They are the tasks that reach 60 or more.
What AI model tier does this role need?
A frontier-tier model or lower covers 68% of the role's importance-weighted task work, and 32% is hands-on work that no model tier covers. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.
How many people work as First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers, and what do they earn?
812,210 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $79,920 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of +5.3% from 2024 to 2034.
How to cite
Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.
JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/first-line-supervisors-of-construction-trades-and-extraction-workers
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