AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 29-1221.00
Will AI replace Pediatricians, General?
Pediatricians, General: AI can already handle 4 of 17 tasks; the work mostly needs a frontier-tier model.
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Every task, scored
The 17 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for Pediatricians, General, from most to least exposed. 4 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.
| Task | AI exposure | Evidence | Model tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Refer patient to medical specialist or other practitioner when necessary. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Prepare government or organizational reports of birth, death, and disease statistics, workforce evaluations, or medical status of individuals. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Examine children regularly to assess their growth and development. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Provide consulting services to other physicians. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Treat children who have minor illnesses, acute and chronic health problems, and growth and development concerns. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Direct and coordinate activities of nurses, students, assistants, specialists, therapists, and other medical staff. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Plan and execute medical care programs to aid in the mental and physical growth and development of children and adolescents. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Plan, implement, or administer health programs or standards in hospitals, businesses, or communities for prevention or treatment of injury or illness. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Conduct research to study anatomy and develop or test medications, treatments, or procedures to prevent or control disease or injury. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Advise patients, parents or guardians, and community members concerning diet, activity, hygiene, and disease prevention. | Observed | Standard | |
| Teach residents or medical students about pediatric topics. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Collect, record, and maintain patient information, such as medical history, reports, or examination results. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Operate on patients to remove, repair, or improve functioning of diseased or injured body parts and systems. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Prescribe or administer treatment, therapy, medication, vaccination, and other specialized medical care to treat or prevent illness, disease, or injury in infants and children. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Examine patients or order, perform, and interpret diagnostic tests to obtain information on medical condition and determine diagnosis. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Explain procedures and discuss test results or prescribed treatments with patients and parents or guardians. | Estimated | No tier | |
| Monitor patients' conditions and progress and reevaluate treatments as necessary. | Estimated | No tier |
Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 1 of 17 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 16 of 17. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.
The model tier this role needs
A frontier-tier model or lower covers 73% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 73% of the work is something AI can address at some tier, and 27% is hands-on.
Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.
Wages, employment and outlook
- US employment
- 39,390
- Median annual wage
- $210,040
- Middle half of earners
- $138,290 to $273,700
- Projected change, 2024 to 2034
- +0.8%
Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034.
Adjacent roles
The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.
- Pediatric Surgeons 76% skill overlap, about 9 months to move Exposure44
- General Internal Medicine Physicians 67% skill overlap, about 12 months to move Exposure31
- Dentists, General 67% skill overlap, about 12 months to move Exposure51
- Family Medicine Physicians 66% skill overlap, about 12 months to move Exposure35
- Psychiatrists 63% skill overlap, about 13 months to move Exposure34
Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.
Questions about Pediatricians, General and AI
Will AI replace Pediatricians, General?
AI already handles 4 of the 17 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 38 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by +0.8% from 2024 to 2034.
What is the AI exposure of Pediatricians, General?
38 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 1 of the 17 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 16 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.
Which Pediatricians, General tasks can AI already do?
The tasks with the highest exposure are: Refer patient to medical specialist or other practitioner when necessary; Prepare government or organizational reports of birth, death, and disease statistics, workforce evaluations, or medical status of individuals; Examine children regularly to assess their growth and development. They are three of the 4 tasks that reach 60 or more.
What AI model tier does this role need?
A frontier-tier model or lower covers 73% of the role's importance-weighted task work, and 27% is hands-on work that no model tier covers. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.
How many people work as Pediatricians, General, and what do they earn?
39,390 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $210,040 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of +0.8% from 2024 to 2034.
How to cite
Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.
JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: Pediatricians, General. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/pediatricians-general
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