AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 29-1215.00

Will AI replace Family Medicine Physicians?

Family Medicine Physicians: AI can already handle 1 of 12 tasks; the work mostly needs a frontier-tier model.

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Every task, scored

The 12 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for Family Medicine Physicians, from most to least exposed. 1 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.

Task AI exposure Evidence Model tier Importance
Advise patients and community members concerning diet, activity, hygiene, and disease prevention. 74 Observed Frontier 4.8
Refer patients to medical specialists or other practitioners when necessary. 55 Estimated Efficient 4.6
Prepare government or organizational reports which include birth, death, and disease statistics, workforce evaluations, or medical status of individuals. 55 Estimated Efficient 3.6
Direct and coordinate activities of nurses, students, assistants, specialists, therapists, and other medical staff. 50 Estimated Frontier 4.7
Coordinate work with nurses, social workers, rehabilitation therapists, pharmacists, psychologists, and other health care providers. 50 Estimated Standard 4.5
Plan, implement, or administer health programs or standards in hospitals, businesses, or communities for prevention or treatment of injury or illness. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.9
Train residents, medical students, and other health care professionals. 35 Estimated Efficient 3.1
Collect, record, and maintain patient information, such as medical history, reports, or examination results. 20 Estimated Efficient 5.0
Prescribe or administer treatment, therapy, medication, vaccination, and other specialized medical care to treat or prevent illness, disease, or injury. 10 Estimated No tier 5.0
Order, perform, and interpret tests and analyze records, reports, and examination information to diagnose patients' condition. 10 Estimated No tier 5.0
Monitor patients' conditions and progress and reevaluate treatments as necessary. 10 Estimated No tier 5.0
Explain procedures and discuss test results or prescribed treatments with patients. 10 Estimated No tier 5.0

Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 1 of 12 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 11 of 12. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.

The model tier this role needs

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 63% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 63% of the work is something AI can address at some tier, and 37% is hands-on.

Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.

Wages, employment and outlook

US employment
107,510
Median annual wage
$244,180
Middle half of earners
$162,420 to $334,270
Projected change, 2024 to 2034
+2.7%

Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034.

Adjacent roles

The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.

Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.

Questions about Family Medicine Physicians and AI

Will AI replace Family Medicine Physicians?

AI already handles 1 of the 12 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 35 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by +2.7% from 2024 to 2034.

What is the AI exposure of Family Medicine Physicians?

35 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 1 of the 12 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 11 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.

Which Family Medicine Physicians tasks can AI already do?

The tasks with the highest exposure are: Advise patients and community members concerning diet, activity, hygiene, and disease prevention. It is the only task that reach 60 or more.

What AI model tier does this role need?

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 63% of the role's importance-weighted task work, and 37% is hands-on work that no model tier covers. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.

How many people work as Family Medicine Physicians, and what do they earn?

107,510 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $244,180 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of +2.7% from 2024 to 2034.

How to cite

Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.

JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: Family Medicine Physicians. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/family-medicine-physicians

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