AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 47-2142.00

Will AI replace Paperhangers?

Paperhangers: AI can already handle 1 of 20 tasks; most of the work is hands-on, and the part AI can address mostly needs an efficient-tier model.

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Every task, scored

The 20 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for Paperhangers, from most to least exposed. 1 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.

Task AI exposure Evidence Model tier Importance
Measure surfaces or review work orders to estimate the quantities of materials needed. 65 Estimated Efficient 4.2
Smooth strips or sections of paper with brushes or rollers to remove wrinkles and bubbles and to smooth joints. 15 Estimated No tier 4.5
Trim rough edges from strips, using straightedges and trimming knives. 15 Estimated No tier 4.4
Trim excess material at ceilings or baseboards, using knives. 15 Estimated No tier 4.4
Check finished wallcoverings for proper alignment, pattern matching, and neatness of seams. 15 Estimated No tier 4.4
Mark vertical guidelines on walls to align strips, using plumb bobs and chalk lines. 15 Estimated No tier 4.3
Cover interior walls and ceilings of rooms with decorative wallpaper or fabric, using hand tools. 15 Estimated No tier 4.3
Apply adhesives to the backs of paper strips, using brushes, or dunk strips of prepasted wallcovering in water, wiping off any excess adhesive. 15 Estimated No tier 4.3
Measure and cut strips from rolls of wallpaper or fabric, using shears or razors. 15 Estimated No tier 4.3
Place strips or sections of paper on surfaces, aligning section edges and patterns. 15 Estimated No tier 4.2
Fill holes, cracks, and other surface imperfections preparatory to covering surfaces. 15 Estimated No tier 4.2
Apply sizing to seal surfaces and maximize adhesion of coverings to surfaces. 15 Estimated No tier 4.2
Smooth rough spots on walls and ceilings, using sandpaper. 15 Estimated No tier 4.0
Set up equipment, such as pasteboards and scaffolds. 15 Estimated No tier 3.9
Remove old paper, using water, steam machines, or solvents and scrapers. 15 Estimated No tier 3.8
Staple or tack advertising posters onto fences, walls, billboards, or poles. 15 Estimated No tier 3.8
Apply thinned glue to waterproof porous surfaces, using brushes, rollers, or pasting machines. 15 Estimated No tier 3.8
Mix paste, using paste powder and water, and brush paste onto surfaces. 15 Estimated No tier 3.6
Remove paint, varnish, dirt, and grease from surfaces, using paint remover and water soda solutions. 15 Estimated No tier 3.5
Apply acetic acid to damp plaster to prevent lime from bleeding through paper. 15 Estimated No tier 3.4

Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 0 of 20 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 20 of 20. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.

The model tier this role needs

An efficient-tier model or lower covers 5% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 5% of the work is something AI can address at some tier, and 95% is hands-on.

Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.

Wages, employment and outlook

US employment
1,570
Median annual wage
$52,140
Middle half of earners
$44,890 to $60,180
Projected change, 2024 to 2034
+5.3%

Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034.

Adjacent roles

The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.

Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.

Questions about Paperhangers and AI

Will AI replace Paperhangers?

AI already handles 1 of the 20 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 18 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by +5.3% from 2024 to 2034.

What is the AI exposure of Paperhangers?

18 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 0 of the 20 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 20 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.

Which Paperhangers tasks can AI already do?

The tasks with the highest exposure are: Measure surfaces or review work orders to estimate the quantities of materials needed. It is the only task that reach 60 or more.

What AI model tier does this role need?

An efficient-tier model or lower covers 5% of the role's importance-weighted task work, and 95% is hands-on work that no model tier covers. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.

How many people work as Paperhangers, and what do they earn?

1,570 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $52,140 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of +5.3% from 2024 to 2034.

How to cite

Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.

JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: Paperhangers. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/paperhangers

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