AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 15-2011.00
Will AI replace Actuaries?
Actuaries: AI can already handle 2 of 15 tasks; the work mostly needs a frontier-tier model.
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Every task, scored
The 15 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for Actuaries, from most to least exposed. 2 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.
| Task | AI exposure | Evidence | Model tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Provide advice to clients on a contract basis, working as a consultant. | Observed | Frontier | |
| Design, review, and help administer insurance, annuity and pension plans, determining financial soundness and calculating premiums. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Collaborate with programmers, underwriters, accounts, claims experts, and senior management to help companies develop plans for new lines of business or improvements to existing business. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Ascertain premium rates required and cash reserves and liabilities necessary to ensure payment of future benefits. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Analyze statistical information to estimate mortality, accident, sickness, disability, and retirement rates. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Determine, or help determine, company policy, and explain complex technical matters to company executives, government officials, shareholders, policyholders, or the public. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Determine equitable basis for distributing surplus earnings under participating insurance and annuity contracts in mutual companies. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Provide expertise to help financial institutions manage risks and maximize returns associated with investment products or credit offerings. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Testify before public agencies on proposed legislation affecting businesses. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Determine policy contract provisions for each type of insurance. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Testify in court as expert witness or to provide legal evidence on matters such as the value of potential lifetime earnings of a person disabled or killed in an accident. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Explain changes in contract provisions to customers. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Manage credit and help price corporate security offerings. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Negotiate terms and conditions of reinsurance with other companies. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Construct probability tables for events such as fires, natural disasters, and unemployment, based on analysis of statistical data and other pertinent information. | Estimated | No tier |
Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 1 of 15 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 14 of 15. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.
The model tier this role needs
A frontier-tier model or lower covers 92% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 92% of the work is something AI can address at some tier, and 8% is hands-on.
Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.
Wages, employment and outlook
- US employment
- 26,670
- Median annual wage
- $130,000
- Middle half of earners
- $97,680 to $170,650
- Projected change, 2024 to 2034
- +21.8%
Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034.
Adjacent roles
The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.
- Statisticians 67% skill overlap, about 12 months to move Exposure62
- Statistical Assistants 66% skill overlap, about 12 months to move Exposure66
- Insurance Underwriters 62% skill overlap, about 14 months to move Exposure72
- Claims Adjusters, Examiners, and Investigators 62% skill overlap, about 14 months to move Exposure69
- Financial Quantitative Analysts 61% skill overlap, about 14 months to move Exposure57
Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.
Questions about Actuaries and AI
Will AI replace Actuaries?
AI already handles 2 of the 15 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 47 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by +21.8% from 2024 to 2034.
What is the AI exposure of Actuaries?
47 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 1 of the 15 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 14 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.
Which Actuaries tasks can AI already do?
The tasks with the highest exposure are: Provide advice to clients on a contract basis, working as a consultant; Design, review, and help administer insurance, annuity and pension plans, determining financial soundness and calculating premiums. They are the tasks that reach 60 or more.
What AI model tier does this role need?
A frontier-tier model or lower covers 92% of the role's importance-weighted task work. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.
How many people work as Actuaries, and what do they earn?
26,670 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $130,000 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of +21.8% from 2024 to 2034.
How to cite
Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.
JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: Actuaries. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/actuaries
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