AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 33-3021.06
Will AI replace Intelligence Analysts?
Intelligence Analysts: AI can already handle 17 of 21 tasks; the work mostly needs an efficient-tier model.
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Every task, scored
The 21 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for Intelligence Analysts, from most to least exposed. 17 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.
| Task | AI exposure | Evidence | Model tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Validate known intelligence with data from other sources. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Gather intelligence information by field observation, confidential information sources, or public records. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Analyze intelligence data to identify patterns and trends in criminal activity. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Prepare comprehensive written reports, presentations, maps, or charts, based on research, collection, and analysis of intelligence data. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Link or chart suspects to criminal organizations or events to determine activities and interrelationships. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Establish criminal profiles to aid in connecting criminal organizations with their members. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Identify gaps in information. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Predict future gang, organized crime, or terrorist activity, using analyses of intelligence data. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Study activities relating to narcotics, money laundering, gangs, auto theft rings, terrorism, or other national security threats. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Study the assets of criminal suspects to determine the flow of money from or to targeted groups. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Conduct presentations of analytic findings. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Interview, interrogate, or interact with witnesses or crime suspects to collect human intelligence. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Study communication code languages or foreign languages to translate intelligence. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Operate cameras, radios, or other surveillance equipment to intercept communications or document activities. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Gather, analyze, correlate, or evaluate information from a variety of resources, such as law enforcement databases. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Evaluate records of communications, such as telephone calls, to plot activity and determine the size and location of criminal groups and members. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Gather and evaluate information, using tools such as aerial photographs, radar equipment, or sensitive radio equipment. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Collaborate with representatives from other government and intelligence organizations to share information or coordinate intelligence activities. | Estimated | Standard | |
| Design, use, or maintain databases and software applications, such as geographic information systems (GIS) mapping and artificial intelligence tools. | Estimated | Efficient | |
| Develop defense plans or tactics, using intelligence and other information. | Estimated | Frontier | |
| Prepare plans to intercept foreign communications transmissions. | Estimated | Frontier |
Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 0 of 21 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 21 of 21. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.
The model tier this role needs
An efficient-tier model or lower covers 83% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 100% of the work is something AI can address at some tier.
Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.
Wages, employment and outlook
- US employment
- 114,430
- Median annual wage
- $93,790
- Middle half of earners
- $69,330 to $120,520
- Projected change, 2024 to 2034
- -0.7%
Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034. BLS publishes these figures by SOC code, so O*NET occupations that share a SOC code show the same figures.
Adjacent roles
The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.
- Information Security Analysts 72% skill overlap, about 10 months to move Exposure65
- Business Intelligence Analysts 70% skill overlap, about 11 months to move Exposure65
- Detectives and Criminal Investigators 69% skill overlap, about 11 months to move Exposure33
- Digital Forensics Analysts 66% skill overlap, about 12 months to move Exposure61
- Management Analysts 65% skill overlap, about 13 months to move Exposure55
Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.
Questions about Intelligence Analysts and AI
Will AI replace Intelligence Analysts?
AI already handles 17 of the 21 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 69 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by -0.7% from 2024 to 2034.
What is the AI exposure of Intelligence Analysts?
69 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 0 of the 21 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 21 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.
Which Intelligence Analysts tasks can AI already do?
The tasks with the highest exposure are: Validate known intelligence with data from other sources; Gather intelligence information by field observation, confidential information sources, or public records; Analyze intelligence data to identify patterns and trends in criminal activity. They are three of the 17 tasks that reach 60 or more.
What AI model tier does this role need?
An efficient-tier model or lower covers 83% of the role's importance-weighted task work. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.
How many people work as Intelligence Analysts, and what do they earn?
114,430 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $93,790 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of -0.7% from 2024 to 2034.
How to cite
Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.
JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: Intelligence Analysts. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/intelligence-analysts
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