AI exposure by occupation, O*NET 11-3051.02

Will AI replace Geothermal Production Managers?

Geothermal Production Managers: AI can already handle 4 of 17 tasks; the work mostly needs a frontier-tier model.

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Every task, scored

The 17 tasks O*NET 30.3 lists for Geothermal Production Managers, from most to least exposed. 4 reach 60 or more, the level at which AI already handles a task.

Task AI exposure Evidence Model tier Importance
Inspect geothermal plant or injection well fields to verify proper equipment operations. 80 Estimated Standard 4.0
Identify and evaluate equipment, procedural, or conditional inefficiencies involving geothermal plant systems. 65 Estimated Standard 4.0
Record, review, or maintain daily logs, reports, maintenance, and other records associated with geothermal operations. 65 Estimated Efficient 3.9
Conduct well field site assessments. 65 Estimated Standard 3.8
Prepare environmental permit applications or compliance reports. 55 Estimated Efficient 4.3
Monitor geothermal operations, using programmable logic controllers. 55 Estimated Standard 3.8
Supervise employees in geothermal power plants or well fields. 50 Estimated Frontier 4.4
Oversee geothermal plant operations, maintenance, and repairs to ensure compliance with applicable standards or regulations. 50 Estimated Frontier 4.3
Communicate geothermal plant conditions to employees. 50 Estimated Standard 4.1
Perform or direct the performance of preventative maintenance on geothermal plant equipment. 50 Estimated Efficient 4.0
Develop or manage budgets for geothermal operations. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.9
Obtain permits for constructing, upgrading, or operating geothermal power plants. 50 Estimated Efficient 3.9
Select and implement corrosion control or mitigation systems for geothermal plants. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.9
Develop operating plans and schedules for geothermal operations. 50 Estimated Frontier 3.9
Identify opportunities to improve plant electrical equipment, controls, or process control methodologies. 50 Estimated Standard 3.7
Troubleshoot and make minor repairs to geothermal plant instrumentation or electrical systems. 50 Estimated Efficient 3.5
Negotiate interconnection agreements with other utilities. 35 Estimated Standard 4.2

Observed: scored from AI use recorded in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), 0 of 17 tasks. Estimated: scored from the task's O*NET 30.3 work activity, 17 of 17. Importance is O*NET's 1 to 5 rating of how central the task is. Model tier is the lowest tier that can do the task under the published rubric; "No tier" marks hands-on work.

The model tier this role needs

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. 100% of the work is something AI can address at some tier.

Efficient, standard and frontier tiers come from the JobRoute model tier reference. The recommended tier is the lowest one that covers 80% of the work AI can address. How the method works.

Wages, employment and outlook

US employment
246,250
Median annual wage
$126,060
Middle half of earners
$98,160 to $161,880
Projected change, 2024 to 2034
+1.9%

Employment and wages: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025, national. Projection: BLS Employment Projections 2024 to 2034. BLS publishes these figures by SOC code, so O*NET occupations that share a SOC code show the same figures.

Adjacent roles

The occupations that reuse the most of this role's skills, with the usual time to move. These are the first places to look when you plan to redeploy or retrain people in this role.

Skill overlap and transition time from the JobRoute role adjacency graph on O*NET 30.3 skills.

Questions about Geothermal Production Managers and AI

Will AI replace Geothermal Production Managers?

AI already handles 4 of the 17 tasks O*NET lists for this occupation, at a task exposure of 60 or more, and the role's importance-weighted exposure is 54 out of 100. JobRoute scores tasks, not whole jobs, so the score shows how much of the work changes rather than whether the job disappears. BLS projects employment to change by +1.9% from 2024 to 2034.

What is the AI exposure of Geothermal Production Managers?

54 out of 100 on JobRoute's task exposure measure, the importance-weighted average of the role's O*NET task scores. Higher means more of the work is AI-doable today. 0 of the 17 task scores are observed in the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026 release), and the other 17 are estimated from each task's O*NET work activity.

Which Geothermal Production Managers tasks can AI already do?

The tasks with the highest exposure are: Inspect geothermal plant or injection well fields to verify proper equipment operations; Identify and evaluate equipment, procedural, or conditional inefficiencies involving geothermal plant systems; Record, review, or maintain daily logs, reports, maintenance, and other records associated with geothermal operations. They are three of the 4 tasks that reach 60 or more.

What AI model tier does this role need?

A frontier-tier model or lower covers 100% of the role's importance-weighted task work. JobRoute assigns each task the lowest tier that can do it under a published rubric and recommends the lowest tier that covers 80% of the work AI can address.

How many people work as Geothermal Production Managers, and what do they earn?

246,250 people in the United States, with a median annual wage of $126,060 (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025). BLS Employment Projections expect a change of +1.9% from 2024 to 2034.

How to cite

Data version 2026-11-02, JobRoute method v1.0.0. Download all occupations or this occupation as JSON. Methodology.

JobRoute (2026). AI exposure: Geothermal Production Managers. Data version 2026-11-02, method v1.0.0. Built on O*NET 30.3, BLS OEWS May 2025 and the Anthropic Economic Index (June 2026). CC BY 4.0. https://www.jobroute.ai/jobs/geothermal-production-managers

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